The prediction of gross domestic product (GDP) preliminary figure

The prediction of gross domestic product (GDP) preliminary figure at the period of the January-March that depended on 11 main, private think tank companies was the first all present.

Substance except the influence of the price variation : in the proportion 4.2% previous term decrease and 15.9% in the annual rate decrease on the average.
It drops to the minus of four quarter serial without the example in the past and two digit minus of two quarter serial.

The decreasing rate exceeds the period on the January-March of 1974(13.1% in the annual rate decrease), and becomes the worst after the war.

Dropping the domestic demand like personal consumption expenditure and capital investment, etc. in addition to the setback of the one-step of the foreign demand is supposed to have depressed the GDP greatly for the period of the January-March.
As for the narrow range decrease and the capital investment of two quarter serial, personal consumption expenditure expects the setback of about 5-10% from progression of the disease of the employment environment in the background of the decline in corporate profits.
It is expected that all demand components the main as minus width of export expands from 13.8% at the period on the October-December of last year to about 30%, too are subtracted.

Source:
http://www.jiji.com/jc/c?g=eco_30&k=2009050100785